Northern Territory, 2018–2024−50.6%
Cask wine fell by half under a $1.30 floor
The NT set a minimum price of $1.30 per standard drink in October 2018. Cask wine consumption per person fell 50.6% in the first year. The three-year evaluation found a 25.8% fall in alcohol-related assaults outside the home, no change in domestic assaults, partial switching to spirits, and no harm to tourism or the liquor trade. After the floor was repealed in 2024, products under $1.30 returned to Darwin shelves within a month.
Coomber et al., NT Government final report (2022); Taylor et al., Drug and Alcohol Review (2023); Miller et al., Addiction (2026)
Australia, 2008−30%
The alcopops tax put RTDs on the spirits rate
In April 2008 RTDs moved up to the full spirits rate, the one time Australia has aligned two beverages by alcohol content. RTD sales fell more than 30% in the first full year and total pure alcohol sold fell 1.5%. Extra spirits and beer replaced only about half of the lost RTD drinks.
Chikritzhs et al., MJA (2009); Skov et al., MJA (2011)
United Kingdom, 20236 bands
The UK moved every drink onto strength bands
From August 2023 the UK taxes all drinks by alcohol content in strength bands, with a low rate under 3.5% ABV, a 9.2% draught relief for pubs and a single small producer relief across beer, cider, wine and spirits. It shows a large market can make the change in one step. Option C uses the UK's rate ratios.
HMRC alcohol duty reforms, 1 August 2023
Scotland, 2018–2020−13.4%
A floor price cut alcohol deaths
Scotland's 50p-per-unit minimum price was followed by a 13.4% fall in deaths wholly caused by alcohol over 32 months, compared with England, or about 156 lives. The largest falls were in men and in poorer areas, where the cheapest, strongest products are most often bought.
Wyper et al., The Lancet (2023)
Australian modelling$1.3bn
Replacing the WET alone pays for itself
Modelling of 2010 sales found that a volumetric tax on wine would raise $1.3 billion a year, cut alcohol use 1.3%, save $820 million in health costs and avert 59,000 disability-adjusted life years. A separate study put the one-off cost of switching to a volumetric system at $18 million.
Doran et al., MJA (2013); Byrnes et al., MJA (2010)